真相集中营

The Guardian-Chinas spike in respiratory illness prompts WHO to ask for details

November 23, 2023   3 min   477 words

这篇报道揭示了中国北方地区儿童呼吸道疾病激增的问题,引起了世卫组织的关注。在解封后的首个冬季,流行病学家指出,中国人对呼吸病毒的天然免疫水平可能较低,形成了所谓的“免疫债”,导致感染增加。这与美英等国在解封后的第一个冬季经历的呼吸道病毒大流行相似。封锁措施延迟了儿童首次接触常见病毒的年龄。虽然中国卫生部门强调病例大多为轻微,但一些医院报告显示,儿童呼吸道感染数量迅速上升。免疫学家指出,过去三年的“零Covid”政策可能削弱了人们对类似流感病毒的正常免疫水平,可能导致冬季感染激增。这一现象被认为是季节性波动,部分原因是偶然,部分原因是过去三年冬季波动所带来的“免疫债”。尽管报道强调了病例的轻微性质,但问题的严重性引发了国际社会的担忧。

2023-11-23T11:34:57Z
A child in Beijing wears a face mask and a pink winter hat

The World Health Organization has asked China for details about a spike in respiratory illnesses that has been reported in northern parts of the country, particularly among children.

Epidemiologists have warned that as China heads into its first winter since the lifting of zero-Covid restrictions, natural levels of immunity to respiratory viruses may be lower than normal, leading to an increase in infections.

Several countries, including the US and the UK, experienced large waves of respiratory viral infections in the first winter after Covid restrictions were lifted as people had lower natural levels of immunity. For young children, lockdowns delayed the age at which they were first exposed to common bugs.

On 13 November, China’s National Health Commission held a press conference about the increase in respiratory disease cases. The health authority said that these cases were linked to pathogens such as influenza and mycoplasma pneumoniae, a common bacterial infection that typically affects younger children.

On Wednesday, the WHO said that it had asked China for more information about clusters of pneumonia in children northern China, stressing that such requests were “routine”.

Earlier this month, one of China’s leading hospitals reported a surge in mycoplasma pneumonia and other respiratory diseases among children in September and October. Beijing Friendship hospital said that the average number of daily outpatient and emergency visits to the paediatric department had increased to more than 1,600, due to the “rapid spread” of respiratory infections.

But in recent weeks the number of infected children in several provinces appears to have fallen, according to Sixth Tone, a local media outlet.

On Monday, Wang Quanyi, the deputy director of China’s Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, said that mycoplasma pneumonia was no longer among the top three respiratory infections among children in Beijing.

Wang said: “Due to the co-circulation of multiple pathogens, the overall number of infections will show an upward trend … medical institutions must be prepared to deal with the pressure”.

The three years of zero-Covid restrictions may have lowered people’s normal levels of immunity to influenza-like viruses, Wang said, which could lead to a wave of infections in the winter months.

Ben Cowling, an epidemiologist at Hong Kong University, told Reuters: “It is just a relatively large seasonal surge, perhaps partly due to chance and partly because there’s a bit of ‘immunity debt’ from the lesser winter surges in the last three years”.

State media has acknowledged the increase in pneumonia infections among children but stressed that most cases are mild and that parents should follow measures to reduce the risk of cases spreading, such as vaccinations if necessary, regular hand-washing, mask-wearing and staying at home when ill.

Additional research by Chi Hui Lin



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