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Reuters-QA What is known about the Nord Stream gas pipeline explosions

September 26, 2023   6 min   1160 words

这篇报道涵盖了涉及俄罗斯和德国之间的波罗的海底北溪天然气管道爆炸事件的多个方面。一年后,我们仍未解决爆炸背后的责任问题。这起事件损坏了北溪天然气管道系统的三根管道,导致大量甲烷泄漏到大气中。 关于北溪管道的背景信息:这个多十亿美元的基础设施项目由俄罗斯的Gazprom公司分两个阶段建成,包括北溪1和北溪2,总长约1,200公里,直径超过1米,埋在约80-110米深的水下。北溪管道的总产能达到每年约1100亿立方米的天然气,占俄罗斯出口总产能的一半以上。然而,西方公司已经放弃了他们的投资。 关于爆炸原因:爆炸事件被华盛顿和北约视为破坏行为,而莫斯科则称其为国际恐怖主义行为。瑞典在爆炸现场发现了爆炸物的痕迹,证实这是一次故意的行动。德国则表示,在一艘帆船上发现了水下爆炸物的痕迹,这艘帆船可能被用来运输爆炸物。德国官方认为,受训练的潜水员可能会在水下70到80米深的地方附上爆炸物。 谁是爆炸背后的幕后黑手?迄今为止,尚无人对爆炸事件负责。俄罗斯和西方互相指责对方。俄罗斯的波罗的海舰队驻扎在卡琳格勒格勒德飞地附近,靠近爆炸地点,并拥有部署海军潜水员的船只。德国媒体的一份报道称,俄罗斯军舰在爆炸地区之前一直活动。然而,没有确凿的证据表明俄罗斯本身参与了这些袭击。美国调查记者西莫·赫希在一篇博客中声称,这次行动是由美国海军潜水员在挪威的协助下执行的,但华盛顿对此报告表示否认,挪威也称这些指控是荒谬的。瑞典的特别检察官马茨·林克维斯特表示,主要假设是一国或一国支持的组织参与了这次袭击。一些美国媒体引用的情报报告声称是一支“亲乌克兰组织”策划了这次袭击,但乌克兰否认了涉与。 关于西方情报的了解:爆炸事件发生后一天,《德国之声》杂志在2022年夏天报告称,中情局在2022年夏天警告德国可能会发生波罗的海天然气管道袭击。《华盛顿邮报》在2022年6月报道称,中情局在2022年6月得知了一项乌克兰阴谋,并将情报分享给了德国和其他欧洲国家。德国的联邦宪法保护办公室在袭击后不久就获得了有关“安德罗梅达”帆船的信息。 关于北溪调查的当前状态:德国、丹麦和瑞典于2022年7月11日告诉联合国安理会,他们不能确定调查何时会结束。瑞典的特别检察官马茨·林克维斯特表示,他的目标是在今年年底之前结束调查。 北溪管道的未来展望:北溪管道一直是欧洲与莫斯科之间的能源争端焦点,特别是在俄罗斯入侵乌克兰之后。北溪管道的破坏加速了欧洲向其他能源供应商转变的过程,美国增加了液化天然气(LNG)出口。据报道,北溪管道可能会被封存和停用。虽然北溪2的两条管道中仍有一条完好无损,但在乌克兰战争持续的情况下,不太可能用来输送俄罗斯的天然气。德国计划利用北溪的一些基础设施进口液化天然气,包括来自美国的液化天然气。 总的来说,这起爆炸事件引发了多方的调查和指责,但至今尚未有明确的答案。北溪管道的未来也存在不确定性,因为能源政治和地缘政治因素仍然在其中发挥重要作用。这是一个需要继续关注的重大事件。

2023-09-26T15:23:24Z

One year on from explosions that damaged the Nord Stream gas pipelines under the Baltic sea between Russia and Germany, the question of who was behind them is unresolved.

On Sept. 26, 2022, Swedish seismologists registered several blasts, some 17 hours apart off the Danish island of Bornholm that ruptured three out of four lines of the Nord Stream system, sending plumes of methane into atmosphere.

Russia's Gazprom said about 800 million cubic metres of gas, equivalent to about three months of Danish gas supplies, had escaped. It took several days for the gas to stop leaking.

Since the blasts occurred in the exclusive economic zones of Sweden and Denmark, both countries are investigating, as well as Germany, where the pipes land.

This is what we know so far:

The multibillion-dollar infrastructure project was built by Russia's Gazprom (GAZP.MM) in two stages - Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2.

Each stage consists of two concrete-coated steel pipelines of about 1,200km in length and more than 1m in diameter, laying at a depth of around 80-110m.

Nord Stream pipelines had a total capacity of pumping some 110 billion cubic metres (bcm) of natural gas per annum, more than a half of Russia's total export capacity.

Gazprom owns 51% of Nord Stream 1, while Germany's E.ON (EONGn.DE) and Wintershall Dea (WINT.UL) have 15.5% each, while French Engie (ENGIE.PA) and Dutch Gasunie (GSUNI.UL) hold 9% each in Nord Stream 1.

The Western owners have written off all their investments.

Nord Stream 2, fully owned by Gazprom and operated by Nord Stream 2 AG, was completed in September 2021 at a cost of $11 billion, but was never put into operation because Germany had cancelled Nord Stream 2's certification days before Russia's invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022.

Western companies - Shell (SHEL.L), Germany's Wintershall Dea and Uniper , French Engie and Austria's OMV covered 50% of the NS2 construction costs.

All five have also written off their full financing of NS2, each of about 1 billion euros.

Washington and NATO called it an act of sabotage, while Moscow said it was an act of international terrorism.

Sweden found traces of explosives on several objects recovered from the explosion site, confirming it was a deliberate act.

In July, Germany told the U.N. Security Council that it found traces of subsea explosives on a sailing yacht that "may have been used to transport the explosives".

Germany told the U.N. that trained divers could have attached explosives at the points where the damage occurred to the pipelines at about 70 to 80 meters deep.

So far, no one has taken responsibility for the blasts. Russia and the West have pointed fingers at each other.

Russia's Baltic fleet is headquartered in Kaliningrad exclave near the explosions sites and possess vessels capable of deploying navy divers.

According to a German media report, Russian military ships had been operating in the area prior the explosions.

The Washington Post reported last December that no conclusive evidence has emerged to suggest that Russia itself was behind the attacks, citing intelligence sources.

German General Prosecutor Peter Frank also told Die Welt on Feb. 4 that there was no hard evidence to implicate Russia.

Russia has denied it was behind the blasts and blamed "Anglo-Saxons", Kremlin's description of the U.S. and Britain.

U.S. investigative journalist Seymour Hersh alleged in a blog post in February that the operation was carried out by U.S. navy divers with assistance of Norway but Washington dismissed the report as "utterly false and complete fiction", while Norway said the allegations were "nonsense".

Russia has asked the U.N. Security Council for an independent investigation but failed to win support, except from China and Brazil.

Sweden's special prosecutor in charge of the investigation, Mats Ljungqvist, told Reuters in April that the main assumption was that a state or a state-backed group was behind the attack.

Some intelligence reports cited by the U.S. media alleged a "pro-Ukrainian group" was behind the attack. Ukraine has denied involvement.

German media reported that a group of six people - five men and one woman - boarded the yacht in Rostock, Germany, on Sept. 6, using a forged Romanian passport with a stolen identity.

The Wall Street Journal reported on June 10 that German investigators have identified at least one suspect from Ukraine.

The boat, identified as a 15-metre (50-foot) sailing yacht Andromeda, returned to Rostock in Germany on Sept. 23, according to the investigation by Der Spiegel and ZDF.

After leaving Rostock, the yacht stopped at Wiek, a small harbour on the north coast of Rugen, and then was spotted at a small Danish island of Christianso close to the explosion sites.

It then made a short stop in Kolobrzeg, Poland, on Sept. 19, before returning to Germany. Poland said there was no evidence to suggest that it was used as a hub for the sabotage.

While German investigators are focused on the yacht and the Ukrainian version, according to Der Spiegel and ZDF, German officials had previously warned that it could be a "false flag" operation staged to blame Kyiv.

A day after the explosions, on Sept. 27, 2022, German magazine Der Siegel reported that the CIA had warned Germany in summer 2022 about possible attacks on Baltic Sea pipelines.

On June 6, the Washington Post reported that the CIA learned in June 2022 of a Ukrainian plot and shared the intelligence with Germany and other European countries, the paper added.

German regional broadcasters NDR and WDR reported on March 31 that German security services had received information about the Andromeda yacht shortly after the attack.

Germany's Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV) questioned employees of the company that owned the Andromeda in 2022, according to the reports.

BfV informed the German Federal Intelligence Service and both agencies passed their findings to the federal prosecutor.

Germany, Denmark and Sweden told the U.N. Security Council on July 11 they could not say when their investigations would be concluded.

Sweden's special prosecutor in charge of the investigation, Mats Ljungqvist, told Reuters on Sept. 20 he aimed to conclude the investigation before the end of this year.

The German federal prosecutor office told Reuters it could not comment and Danish authorities also declined to comment.

The Nord Stream pipelines have been a flashpoint in an energy dispute between Europe and Moscow since Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The destruction of Nord Stream pipelines hastened Europe's switch to other energy suppliers, with the United States increasing its liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports.

In March, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters that the pipelines are set to be sealed up and mothballed.

One of the two lines of Nord Stream 2 remains intact but is unlikely to be used to transport gas from Russia while the war in Ukraine continues.

Germany plans to use some of the Nord Stream infrastructure to import liquefied natural gas, including from the United States, according to Der Spiegel.